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The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder meet in tonight's most highly anticipated matchup on the NBA slate.
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My Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions expect Nikola Jokic to dominate the boards and clear his rebound total.
Find out more in my NBA picks for Monday, March 9, with tip-off set for 7:30 p.m. ET on Peacock.
Nuggets vs Thunder best bet: Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds (-110)
Nikola Jokic grabbed 17 rebounds in that overtime loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on February 27. He battled OKC’s twin towers of Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein in that meeting, but the Thunder could be missing that size tonight.
Hartenstein is sidelined with a calf injury, and Holmgren is overcoming illness, leaving him questionable. Along with backup center Branden Carlson’s absence, 6-foot-9 Jaylin Williams is the lone big man left to fight Jokic on the glass.
Jokic has averaged 20.6 rebounding chances per game since the All-Star break (fifth most), and projections range from 11.9 to 13.3 boards.
The Denver Nuggets have had some trouble away from home recently. They’re 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS as a visitor since the start of February. OKC is 26-6 as a host so far this season.
Game models call for less than 230 combined points in a heated Western war that will have a postseason-like intensity to it, especially after the fireworks of their last matchup.
Jokic’s rebounding chances are sitting north of 20 boards per game, and OKC is a bad rebounding team even at full strength. The Thunder are 25th in rebound rate and allow a lot of offensive rebounds.
Lu Dort and Jokic decide to leave the fighting on the scoreboard, with OKC’s forward projected to reach double digits and Joker’s forecasts flirting with 27 points.
The Nuggets are 6-11 SU but 10-7 ATS against OKC over the last three years. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Thunder.
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